Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+140).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 42.4% run rate.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jared Goff to accumulate 1.8 carries this week, on average: the least of all QBs.
The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles profile as the 4th-best group of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.