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Jared Goff

Jared Goff Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Jared Goff Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-174/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).

The Lions O-line profiles as the 5th-best in football last year at blocking for the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Jared Goff to total 1.8 rush attempts in this game, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.

Jared Goff is more comfortable in the pocket and has accounted for just 3.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, putting him in the 7th percentile among quarterbacks.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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