Jamison Crowder Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jamison Crowder

NFL · Player Props

Jamison Crowder

WR · Washington Commanders

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 17, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jamison Crowder Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 59.7 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Falcons defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
While Jamison Crowder has garnered 7.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Washington's passing attack in this contest at 13.2%.
With an excellent 79.3% Adjusted Catch% (91st percentile) since the start of last season, Jamison Crowder ranks among the most sure-handed receivers in football among wide receivers.
This year, the shaky Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up a monstrous 70.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the worst rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

A running game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Commanders to pass on 51.3% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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