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Jamison Crowder

Jamison Crowder Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Jamison Crowder Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-194/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -174 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -194.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have run the 4th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the NFL.

Jamison Crowder has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.8 receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The weatherman calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Jamison Crowder has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (41.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.8%).

The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Buffalo Bills have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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