Jameson Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jameson Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-199).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.66 seconds per play.
After accruing 77.0 air yards per game last year, Jameson Williams has seen a big uptick this year, now averaging 98.0 per game.
Jameson Williams rates in the 80th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a colossal 52.6 mark this year.
In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.
Jameson Williams grades out in the 97th percentile among WRs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.71 per game.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite in this game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 55.6% of their chances: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.7 per game) this year.

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