Jameson Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jameson Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jameson Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-260).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 132.6 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
The Detroit Lions have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 61.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Jameson Williams has put up significantly more air yards this year (98.0 per game) than he did last year (77.0 per game).
Jameson Williams's 49.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 77th percentile for WRs.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a running game script.
Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.3 per game) this year.
Jameson Williams's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 65.6% to 60.5%.
This year, the tough Vikings defense has allowed a meager 56.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the lowest rate in the league.
The Vikings defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest receiving TDs in the NFL to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.

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