Jameson Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jameson Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -144 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 136.4 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.
This year, the anemic Packers pass defense has been gouged for a whopping 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-highest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Jameson Williams's 45.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 53.7.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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