Jameson Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jameson Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jameson Williams

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 2:33 PM EST

Analysis

Jameson Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Jameson Williams has run a route on 95.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
Our trusted projections expect Jameson Williams to garner 6.3 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
Jameson Williams comes in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Jameson Williams's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 65.6% to 50.1%.
The Jets cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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