James Robinson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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James Robinson

NFL · Player Props

James Robinson

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

James Robinson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+100/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.29 seconds per snap.
The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects James Robinson to accumulate 11.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among running backs.
James Robinson has received 50.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.1% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
James Robinson has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.69 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 20th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have utilized motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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