My Account Log Out

reorder

James Robinson

James Robinson Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

James Robinson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have faced a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone for it on 4th down 23.0% of the time since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects James Robinson to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this week (41.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.1% in games he has played).

The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the best group of LBs in football this year in regard to defending the run.

More James Robinson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™