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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 49.3% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's contest, James Cook is predicted by the predictive model to rank in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.2 rush attempts.
  • With an exceptional tally of 65.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (83rd percentile), James Cook has been as one of the leading running backs in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.
  • While James Cook has garnered 59.8% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Buffalo's rushing attack in this game at 47.6%.
  • The Titans defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 3.97 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's group of DTs has been very good this year, profiling as the 4th-best in football.

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