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James Cook

James Cook Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.

In this game, James Cook is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.0 rush attempts.

Among all running backs, James Cook grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, comprising 59.1% of the workload in his team's run game.

With a remarkable tally of 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (81st percentile), James Cook has been among the best RBs in football this year.

This year, the feeble Indianapolis Colts run defense has been gouged for a staggering 146.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 9th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.9% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

James Cook has been one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.83 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 25th percentile.

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