James Cook Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:26 AM EST

Analysis

James Cook Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
After accounting for 19.1% of his team's rushing play calls last year, James Cook has played a bigger part in the running game this year, currently comprising 48.4%.
James Cook has rushed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (59.0) this year than he did last year (32.0).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 33.0% run rate.
When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
James Cook's 4.7 adjusted yards per carry this year illustrates a meaningful reduction in his running ability over last year's 5.8 figure.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's DE corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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