James Cook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 20, 2024 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Cook rates in the 88th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) with a superb 18.7 figure this year.

Favors Under

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Bills as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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