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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

In this week's contest, James Cook is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.

James Cook places in the 84th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 17.2 mark since the start of last season.

The Buffalo O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills as the 11th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Ravens defense has yielded a paltry 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

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