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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Cook has been in the 78th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a remarkable 14.6 mark this year.
  • The Buffalo O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Jets defensive ends project as the 5th-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

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