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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bills as the 6th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 6th-most in football.

The predictive model expects James Cook to earn 3.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.

With an elite 9.9% Target Rate (78th percentile) this year, James Cook ranks among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 53.8 per game on average).

The Lions safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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