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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast James Cook to notch 3.2 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • James Cook places in the 84th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 16.6 figure this year.
  • James Cook profiles as one of the best pass-game RBs this year, averaging an outstanding 2.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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