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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Bills to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect James Cook to accumulate 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

James Cook has been in the 83rd percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 16.1 figure this year.

This year, the poor Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has surrendered a colossal 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 9th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are predicted by the projections to run only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 53.9 per game on average).

James Cook's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 83.8% to 80.7%.

When it comes to defensive tackles rushing the passer, Kansas City's group of DTs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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