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James Cook

James Cook Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-121/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this game, James Cook is forecasted by the predictive model to rank in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.0 targets.

James Cook has been in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 16.9 mark last year.

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the league last year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

With a stellar 3.1 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) last year, James Cook rates as one of the best pass-catching RBs in football.

The Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (87%) versus running backs last year (87.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is suggested by the Bills being a huge 7-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect the Bills as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

As far as a defense's impact on pace, at 28.35 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the 7th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense last year: 3rd-fewest in the league.

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