James Cook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect James Cook to earn 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.
James Cook's 17.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 10.4.
The Bills O-line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
James Cook's 2.7 adjusted catches per game this season represents a a meaningful progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 1.3 mark.

Favors Under

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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