James Cook Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 20

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NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022

Updated Jan 22, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.0% pass rate.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo Bills O-line has afforded their QB 2.72 seconds before the pass (4th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
James Cook has been among the worst possession receivers in football among running backs, hauling in a mere 64.2% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 5th percentile.