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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Cook has put up a colossal 9.0 air yards per game this year: 96th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

James Cook rates in the 88th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) with a superb 18.7 figure this year.

James Cook is positioned as one of the best pass-game running backs this year, averaging a fantastic 24.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

James Cook profiles as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football when it comes to RBs, averaging a stellar 9.04 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

James Cook's skills in generating extra yardage have been refined this season, averaging 10.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 8.59 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 121.2 plays on offense run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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