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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • In this week's game, James Cook is predicted by the projection model to land in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.4 targets.
  • James Cook has accumulated a whopping 8.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
  • James Cook ranks in the 88th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) with a whopping 18.8 figure this year.
  • James Cook has been one of the leading pass-game RBs this year, averaging an excellent 25.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.
  • This year, the strong Texans defense has yielded a measly 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the best in the NFL.

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