James Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills · Week 4, 2024

Updated Sep 30, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bills being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.
In this week's contest, James Cook is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 79th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.
James Cook has accumulated a monstrous 7.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 97th percentile among running backs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
James Cook places in the 84th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 17.2 mark since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bills as the 11th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are projected by the model to call just 60.2 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
Since the start of last season, the formidable Ravens defense has yielded a paltry 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

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