James Cook Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills · Week 2, 2024

Updated Sep 13, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
James Cook has run a route on 46.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
In this contest, James Cook is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 82nd percentile among RBs with 3.2 targets.
As it relates to air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 99th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 18.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 122.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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