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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Bills to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect James Cook to accumulate 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • As it relates to air yards, James Cook ranks in the towering 89th percentile among RBs this year, accruing a whopping 3.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • James Cook has been in the 83rd percentile among running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 16.1 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Buffalo Bills are predicted by the projections to run only 62.1 offensive plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 53.9 per game on average).
  • James Cook has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (27.0).
  • James Cook's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 83.8% to 80.7%.
  • James Cook's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 8.6 mark.

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