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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) right now with a 70.0% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

James Cook has compiled a whopping 4.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Buffalo Bills O-line has afforded their QB 2.72 seconds before the pass (4th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

James Cook has been among the worst possession receivers in football among running backs, hauling in a mere 64.2% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 5th percentile.

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