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James Cook
NFL · Player Props
James Cook
RB · Buffalo Bills
Receiving Yards
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 19, 2022 Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC
NFL Props James Cook Receiving Yards

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+107/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +107.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 70.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 4th-most in football.
Favors Under
  • The Bills are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.8 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
  • James Cook has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in just 64.2% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 5th percentile.
  • James Cook has been among the worst running backs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.
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