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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

James Cook has accrued a colossal 5.0 air yards per game this year: 93rd percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The Buffalo Bills O-line has given their quarterback 2.72 seconds before the pass (4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

James Cook has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in just 62.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 3rd percentile.

James Cook has been among the bottom RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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