James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all RBs, James Cook ranks in the 85th percentile for carries this year, comprising 54.7% of the workload in his team's ground game.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to run on 38.6% of their chances: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to run just 61.9 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 53.8 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Lions safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in regard to run defense.

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