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James Cook

James Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to run on 47.2% of their downs: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
  • This week, James Cook is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.8 carries.
  • Among all RBs, James Cook ranks in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 56.1% of the workload in his team's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.

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