James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 10, 2024 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
In this game, James Cook is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 76th percentile when it comes to RBs with 14.0 rush attempts.
Among all running backs, James Cook grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, comprising 59.1% of the workload in his team's run game.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the 9th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 41.9% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The fewest plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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