James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).
Key Factors
Favors Over
James Cook has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (49.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.1%).
The Chiefs safeties profile as the 29th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
Favors Under
Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
The Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.