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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 67.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 7th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

The leading projections forecast James Conner to total 19.8 carries in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

James Conner has received 65.6% of his offense's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Conner's 67.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a meaningful regression in his running talent over last season's 79.0 rate.

James Conner's ground efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling just 4.17 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.97 rate last year.

When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Chicago's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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