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James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.2% run rate.The model projects James Conner to notch 16.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.Out of all RBs, James Conner ranks in the 95th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 64.8% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.James Conner has averaged 71.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among RBs (84th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.The opposing side have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 97.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense this year.As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.
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