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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 72.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 9th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast James Conner to total 16.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.

James Conner has received 60.9% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

James Conner has generated 76.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (97th percentile).

Since the start of last season, the strong Commanders run defense has surrendered a meager 4.75 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 28th-smallest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.

James Conner's rushing efficiency has worsened this year, compiling a mere 3.95 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.97 rate last year.

The Commanders linebackers project as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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