James Conner Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-116/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to accrue 12.1 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among running backs.
James Conner has received 45.2% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-most yards in the league (145 per game) versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
James Conner has run for substantially fewer yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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