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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.

James Conner has played on 62.5% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.

This year, the tough Chargers defense has surrendered a mere 80.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been great this year, ranking as the 7th-best in football.

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