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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in football.
  • James Conner has played on 62.7% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
  • James Conner's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 86.0% to 100.0%.
  • The Commanders pass defense has been torched for the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (83.2%) to RBs since the start of last season (83.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

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