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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run 65.6 total plays in this game: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.

In this game, James Conner is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among running backs with 3.4 targets.

With a top-tier 10.7% Target Rate (79th percentile) this year, James Conner has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the league.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Cardinals profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.3 plays per game.

This year, the formidable Seahawks defense has given up a mere 74.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

The Seattle Seahawks safeties project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

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