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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+141/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 3.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.

James Conner has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 9.9% this year, which ranks in the 79th percentile among running backs.

James Conner has been among the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.

James Conner's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 94.6% to 73.9%.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (74.6%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (74.6%).

The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

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