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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Trace McSorley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.6 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Conner's possession skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.2% to 79.6%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers linebackers rank as the 9th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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