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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

James Conner has run a route on 48.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

James Conner's 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a material boost in his receiving ability over last season's 13.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

In regards to air yards, James Conner grades out in just the 8th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.

James Conner's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 86.0% to 80.7%.

The Bears defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 25.0) vs. RBs this year.

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