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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -5-point underdogs.

The projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

With a sizeable 49.4% Route Participation% (80th percentile) this year, James Conner ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

James Conner's receiving efficiency has gotten better this season, totaling 7.26 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 5.66 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (only 54.0 per game on average).

As it relates to air yards, James Conner grades out in the lowly 16th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -5.0 per game.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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