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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

James Conner has played on 66.9% of his team's snaps this year, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

James Conner's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a meaningful boost in his receiving skills over last year's 86.0% rate.

James Conner's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, totaling 8.39 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 5.66 rate last season.

This year, the porous 49ers defense has been gouged for a colossal 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (56.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

James Conner has accrued a feeble -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile among RBs.

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