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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (35.7 per game) since the start of last season.

With an extraordinary 61.5% Snap% (87th percentile) since the start of last season, James Conner places among the running backs with the biggest workloads in the league.

With a terrific 15.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (75th percentile) since the start of last season, James Conner places among the best pass-catching running backs in the league.

With a stellar 87.3% Adjusted Catch% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, James Conner places among the best possession receivers in football among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.6% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.31 seconds per play.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Rams defense has surrendered the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a mere 4.0 yards.

Since the start of last season, the tough Rams pass defense has yielded the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing RBs: a measly 6.5 YAC.

The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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