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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Cardinals are a massive 11.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 5.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

James Conner's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 1.84 yards-per-target compared to a 5.22 mark last season.

The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 25.0) versus running backs since the start of last season.

The Dallas Cowboys safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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