James Conner Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM EST

Analysis

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.50 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 3.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among running backs.
James Conner has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 9.9% this year, which ranks in the 79th percentile among running backs.
James Conner has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 23.0 yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
James Conner's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, averaging 13.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 9.43 rate last year.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.
James Conner's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 94.6% to 73.9%.
James Conner's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this year, compiling a measly 5.01 yards-per-target vs a 9.39 rate last year.
The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the least receiving yards per game in football (just 21.0) to running backs since the start of last season.