My Account Log Out
 
 
James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB David Blough in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cardinals are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 63.1 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • James Conner has posted a paltry -9.0 air yards per game this year: just 3rd percentile among running backs.
  • James Conner's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.2% to 80.3%.
  • James Conner's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, notching a measly 4.93 yards-per-target vs a 8.98 rate last year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 29.0) to running backs this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™